Pre-tourney Rankings
East Tennessee St.
Southern
2016-17
Overall
Predictive Rating+7.9#69
Expected Predictive Rating+8.0#70
Pace70.8#101
Improvement-3.7#323

Offense
Total Offense+2.7#94
First Shot+2.9#91
After Offensive Rebound-0.2#182
Layup/Dunks+3.2#52
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#242
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#176
Freethrows+1.2#97
Improvement-3.1#321

Defense
Total Defense+5.2#51
First Shot+4.7#52
After Offensive Rebounds+0.5#134
Layups/Dunks+3.5#57
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#143
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#62
Freethrows-1.7#278
Improvement-0.6#219
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 12.9 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round17.5% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen4.4% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.7% n/a n/a
Final Four0.1% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 13 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2016 192   Fordham W 96-59 87%     1 - 0 +32.9 +34.4 +1.9
  Nov 14, 2016 295   Detroit Mercy W 107-78 95%     2 - 0 +17.8 +15.8 -0.4
  Nov 20, 2016 67   @ UNC Wilmington L 59-68 40%     2 - 1 +1.5 -9.4 +10.3
  Nov 25, 2016 253   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 86-62 89%     3 - 1 +18.6 +13.3 +6.1
  Nov 26, 2016 175   South Dakota St. W 71-59 79%     4 - 1 +11.6 -2.8 +15.0
  Nov 27, 2016 143   UC Irvine W 72-66 74%     5 - 1 +7.2 +7.1 +0.4
  Dec 10, 2016 47   @ Dayton L 61-75 30%     5 - 2 -0.6 -7.8 +7.7
  Dec 14, 2016 86   @ Mississippi St. W 67-65 49%     6 - 2 +10.1 +5.0 +5.3
  Dec 17, 2016 203   @ Morehead St. W 78-68 77%     7 - 2 +10.1 -0.1 +9.8
  Dec 22, 2016 61   Tennessee L 68-72 55%     7 - 3 +2.6 +2.2 +0.3
  Dec 29, 2016 320   Savannah St. W 92-71 96%     8 - 3 +7.8 +2.5 +3.3
  Dec 31, 2016 324   VMI W 102-75 97%     9 - 3 1 - 0 +13.6 +16.9 -4.4
  Jan 05, 2017 297   @ The Citadel W 115-71 90%     10 - 3 2 - 0 +37.8 +14.4 +15.5
  Jan 07, 2017 146   @ Mercer W 67-58 66%     11 - 3 3 - 0 +12.7 +0.3 +13.2
  Jan 12, 2017 120   UNC Greensboro L 79-83 77%     11 - 4 3 - 1 -3.9 +4.2 -8.1
  Jan 14, 2017 317   Western Carolina W 75-52 96%     12 - 4 4 - 1 +10.1 +0.0 +10.0
  Jan 19, 2017 106   @ Furman L 62-75 56%     12 - 5 4 - 2 -6.8 -12.1 +6.3
  Jan 22, 2017 135   Wofford W 79-72 80%     13 - 5 5 - 2 +6.0 +4.8 +1.3
  Jan 25, 2017 162   @ Samford W 96-86 2OT 69%     14 - 5 6 - 2 +12.7 +2.8 +7.8
  Jan 28, 2017 124   Chattanooga W 76-71 78%     15 - 5 7 - 2 +4.6 +4.0 +0.7
  Feb 02, 2017 324   @ VMI W 81-71 93%     16 - 5 8 - 2 +1.7 +7.3 -5.0
  Feb 06, 2017 135   @ Wofford L 76-79 65%     16 - 6 8 - 3 +1.0 +3.4 -2.4
  Feb 09, 2017 297   The Citadel W 90-69 95%     17 - 6 9 - 3 +9.8 -5.3 +12.0
  Feb 11, 2017 146   Mercer W 88-71 81%     18 - 6 10 - 3 +15.6 +22.4 -4.9
  Feb 15, 2017 162   Samford W 79-77 83%     19 - 6 11 - 3 -0.4 +5.9 -6.3
  Feb 18, 2017 124   @ Chattanooga W 65-51 62%     20 - 6 12 - 3 +18.7 +2.4 +17.8
  Feb 22, 2017 106   Furman W 93-81 OT 74%     21 - 6 13 - 3 +13.2 +23.7 -10.2
  Feb 25, 2017 317   @ Western Carolina W 68-52 92%     22 - 6 14 - 3 +8.2 -3.0 +11.4
  Feb 27, 2017 120   @ UNC Greensboro L 66-72 61%     22 - 7 14 - 4 -0.9 -4.3 +3.3
  Mar 04, 2017 146   Mercer W 73-66 74%     23 - 7 +8.1 +2.7 +5.8
  Mar 05, 2017 162   Samford W 81-72 77%     24 - 7 +9.1 +0.8 +7.7
  Mar 06, 2017 120   UNC Greensboro W 79-74 70%     25 - 7 +7.6 +13.0 -5.0
Projected Record 25.0 - 7.0 14.0 - 4.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 100.0    100.0
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 12.9 0.0 18.9 68.3 12.8 0.0
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 12.9 0.0 18.9 68.3 12.8 0.0